Entries from June 2009

The case for the starting 5… Ma ma se, ma ma sa, ma ma coo sa.

June 30, 2009 · 1 Comment

Just as guilty as the rest of you...

Just as guilty as the rest of you...

I’m guilty. I’m guilty like most of you. Upon hearing the news of the King of Pop passing away last week, I turned to my digital library. I made the MJ-RIP playlist in iTunes. I then loaded all of my MJ songs into my iPod shuffle (red, second generation clip one– none of this voice activated crap) so that when I went running, Jack-O could be with me in spirit.

When all of the lawsuits and rumors were flying around about MJ’s sleepovers with little boys at Neverland Ranch, I sort of put the music aside. But with his recent passing, it’s like he’s been absolved. Of everything. All of the weird stuff (his plastic surgeries, molestation charges, dangling his baby over a balcony, etc.) has taken a back seat so that his music can live on. We are remaking his legacy with every mention of his music and not the stuff that landed him on the front pages of tabloids.

Like I said before, I’m, just as guilty: As I write this post, I’m listening to MJ.

This gets me thinking about how our memory tends to play tricks on us. We convince ourselves of certain truths and therefore create a reality that isn’t always true to form. We make our world what we want it to be.

It’s not entirely a bad thing… but it can be dangerous. Our nostalgic tendencies fog our ability to properly assess a situation, and thus creates greater difficulty in an already difficult decision making process.

On the eve of when 2009 off-season free agency commences, I’m trying to see through the Rondo-Ray-Pierce-KG-Perk lineup that we fell in love with in the 2007-2008 banner year and in the electrifying start they had in the 2008-2009 season before the Christmas Day massacre and the KG injury in February. This starting five has so much personality and character that it’s hard not to be enamored by them. But more importantly, I whole heartedly believe that it is the BEST starting 5 in the association from top to bottom and all-around.

The best starting 5 in the association. Im on record with that.

The best starting 5 in the association. I'm on record with that.

But then I have to call a time-out and check myself: am I being too nostalgic? Am I allowing myself to only remember the good stuff (and believe me: the good stuff was good)? Am I willing to push the bad stuff to the outside of the plate? Some things that are out there in the nebulous of Celtic Universe that I am trying not get absorbed into:

  • Sitting on Ray Allen might mean missing something BIG: his expiring contract is so valuable in this tumultuous economic environment at all owners and GMs seem to be working around instead of with. We could get a handful of players back if a deal were struck where Ray was packaged with a young PG that many teams out there are drooling for.
  • Speaking of the young PG: Rondo’s diva-esque attitude that seems to be eating up headlines all over the place in the last few weeks. Is he really that much of a pain in the ass to play with? I doubt it’s as bad as the reporters are saying. In a time when every writer wants to write the right story in fear of becoming a second class citizen in an ever-changing field (journalism), integrity gets deliberately ignored and writers just write as if they have a source when they have none. Besides, if a guy is really hard to deal with, you change your strategy with him. Here’s an idea: go make Rondo live with KG on an island for 4 weeks– he’ll come back a changed man. And, this would make for GREAT summer reality television.
  • Age. Ray, Pierce, and KG aren’t getting any younger.
  • Wyc and Danny floating the idea of being able to sign a max contract guy in the 2010 off-season frenzy. This has serious ramifications: at that point the only unmovable guy is KG (no one will take on a salary that large at his age), so what will Pierce have to take in order to stay in Boston and retire a Celtic? Will that mean no money for a guy like Rondo? What happens to Perk’s future after 2011? A max-contract guy in 2010 means no money for others. Scary, but also a little exciting at the same time.

Am I being too nostalgic about Rondo-Ray-Pierce-KG-Perk (RRPKP)? Do I want these guys to stay together because of what they’ve done in the past instead of thinking forward about what they CAN do in the future?

Here is the honest answer: YES and NO. I want them to stay together for lots of reasons that deal with the past and the future.

So I go to 82games.com for some help. In their sortable 5-man units in the NBA, RRPKP played a total of 1074 minutes together in the 2008-2009 campaign… and that’s with KG missing 1/3 of the season and the playoffs. That’s the most in the NBA. How do you create strong court chemistry, team camaraderie, and speed up the development of young/raw talent (Rondo/Perl)? Put them on the floor together for as many minutes as possible. RRPKP also had the highest +/- rating amongst all possible 5-man units in the entire NBA that played with each other for at least 100 minutes during the 2008-2009 season: they had a +260 rating. To give you an idea of how effective they were on both defensive and offense (with this +260 rating), Lebron and his Cavs were second with a rating of +187. That’s a 73 point swing if you’re doing the math alongside me. They also collected the most wins in 2008-2009 with 37 as a starting 5 (Spurs were second with 33). And yes, I remind you that KG was hurt for the last 1/3 of the season.

As for RRPKP’s efforts individually, here’s just a tasting:

Keep him where hes at: in green.

Keep him where he's at: in green.

RONDO- Remember that the really really really smart folks over at Wages of Win marked Rondo as the team’s most valuable player because he had the largest rating for wins produced on the entire roster: through mathematical reasoning with various statistics, Rondo is established as being accountable for 29.9% of the Celtics 62 wins during the ’08 season. His actual wins-produced-per-48mins rating was 6th in the ENTIRE league. We lived and died by the phrase “As Rondo goes, so go the Celtics.” True, true. Oh yeah– he’s 23 years old. Put him on that freakin’ island with KG (we could call it, “Growing up with KG”).

RAY- Unfortunately for you Ray fans out there, this might not end well for you. I love Ray Allen on this team. I really do. But for his price tag, I’d rather have a slightly over mediocre shooting guard that plays good defense, a reliable back up for Pierce, and a good big man off the bench. You can get all 3 for $18 million. But if we keep Ray, here are the quick upsides: stone cold shooter, makes CLUTCH shots over and over again, efficient scorer, knows the system, and he plays well with the other 4 guys in the lineup. I like the idea of him staying in the lineup because I like thinking about the consistency and chemistry he already has with the other 4 guys… plus, if he is moved odds are a young PG is moving with him and we just can’t have that.

I can only count 5, 9, 20, 34, 43...

I can only count 5, 9, 20, 34, 43...

PIERCE- One of the most durable players in the game and a ’08 second-team ALL NBA forward, he will be even more effective when KG is back in the lineup and Pierce is not asked to carry so much on his aging shoulders. Less responsibility means more production. A few extra minutes of rest each game means more production in the playoffs. I think we can see a similar performance next season– efficient and reliable scorer and a great defenseman. Plus, he’s a match up nightmare for most teams except Cleveland and Orlando.

KG- Two things: he will eat children if it means another ring and his surgery was a success. I can’t wait to see #5 back on the court this year.

Perk will be even better in 09 than he was in 08. Now thats scary for Lebron and Dwight and really everyone else...

Perk will be even better in 09 than he was in 08. Now that's scary for Lebron and Dwight and really everyone else...

PERK- A maturing center that is earning his money and then some… He had a specific role this year: play defense and score on the low-low post if given the chance. He bought into the role and Perk exceeded ALL of our expectations: he became the anchor of our defense when KG went down. Look at what he did against Dwight Howard in Orlando and then look at what Dwight Howard was able to do in Cleveland. Perk is a beast.

Rondo-Ray-Pierce-KG-Perk need to come back because they are the best starting 5 in the game. With the passing of the draft and no moves being made, I think we can actually believe that Ainge will be looking to free agency to improve our depth and bench… and not touch the core. Danny: go find us a back up PG, a back up swing man, and a reliable back up center.

It’s ok to be nostalgic… as long as it still makes sense. In this case, Rondo-Ray-Pierce-KG-Perk still make sense.

Categories: In the News · Player Profile
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More Yao.

June 29, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Sometimes, Yao just wants to blend into the background.

Sometimes, Yao just wants to blend into the background.

See more of the project at The Phottto Blog.

Categories: In the News · Player Profile

I never played Little League.

June 25, 2009 · 1 Comment

More on Danny later.

More on Danny later.

As a kid, I actually never played Little League baseball. I didn’t go to Disneyworld either. I’m not entirely sure what that says about my childhood, but that’s besides the point.
When all of my friends talked about the best players in Little League, it was usually the same thing: he could hit homeruns, was a pretty good fielder, and he was also the team’s best pitcher. That’s a funny thing. In the majors, there aren’t any players that fit the bill of best hitters and best pitchers on the team. We just don’t see this anymore in the majors.

Much like our society at large, everything has become specialized. From the clothes that we buy to the food that we eat, certain places and certain people make certain items to be bought/sold all over the world. We have specialized because it is efficient: we reduce the amount of waste produced (in terms of time and money; not actual physical waste) and therefore companies maximize profits. We specialize because it’s the way to succeed.

Why am I talking about the social ramifications of specialization? Because we see specialization in sports. Strangely enough, we are seeing it in basketball. We are seeing grand similarities in how GMs and owners run their teams and how companies run their businesses in the marketplace.

Run, catch, run. Its as simple as that.

Run, catch, run. It's as simple as that.

Basketball is a much different sport than baseball and football, and therefore requires different kinds of athletes with different kinds of skill sets. In football, a wide receiver really gets paid to do a few things: run fast, catch a ball, and remember patterns. That’s it. Wide receivers don’t need to know how to tackle, or how to read the opposing offense. Baseball players are in a similar position: a pitcher gets paid to pitch. Even if you’re in the NL, no one is expecting a pitcher to be one of the best hitters in the lineup– there’s a reason almost all NL pitchers hit 9th in the batting order. Outfielders don’t need to work on their agility/reaction time to go to their left and right like infielders. Outfielders arms get worked differently than infielders, which get worked differently than pitchers. Baseball players are very specialized. The best example? The designated hitter.

Those ideas make sense in baseball and football, but it’s much more difficult to hide your athletic flaws in basketball: you are what you are and everyone knows it… and everyone sees it. We are all witnesses to basketball players athletic capabilities and limitations. If you can’t jump, we see it. If you can’t dribble, we see it. Basketball players, in general, have to play all facets of the game because at any given point, they are put in a position to react to that kind of play. And more importantly, this can occur with high frequency during a given game.

You’d imagine then that to build a winning basketball team, you would need to just assemble a team by plucking the best possible players, teaching them how to work together, and to build chemistry around a game-plan. After all, this is the sport that demands all of its athletes to be competent in all aspects of the game. But somewhere along the way, basketball GMs started building teams like they were acquiring unique pieces to a puzzle: get a lockdown defender on the bench that can guard multiple positions and find a shooter that can create space in order to create his own shots. We’ve started treating basketball players like baseball and football players: we trade and acquire players for specific roles.

This has become most evident during this off-season as we hear rumors flying left and right about Rondo and Ray potentially getting moved. Fans have been conditioned to compartmentalize players to certain roles and can’t see past that. For instance, when we gauge a possible Rondo trade, we first think about what #9 gives us right now: good ball-handling skills, lightening quick speed, ability to penetrate and either create his own shots near the rim or dish, great court vision, the ability to say yes/no to his 3 veteran future hall of famers when they all want the ball, amazing athletic ability to block shots and rip down rebounds, and a perimeter defender that gambles with the house’s money but often wins. Then we look at what he doesn’t have: no jump shot, apparently a piss-poor attitude, stubbornness, inconsistency, and at times the tendency to make very bad decisions during crucial moments in a game. When you compare Mike Conley or Steve Nash to Rondo, we as fans can’t help but think that we are losing out. Conley and Nash don’t fill the role that Rondo currently fills. Conley’s vision isn’t as great, neither is his speed. Nash isn’t known as a stellar defender and he’s getting old. Neither Conley nor Nash fit the role that Rondo has created as the Celtics point guard.

That’s precisely the problem: we are trying to compare what one point guard does in one system against what another point guard does in a different system. If both players don’t possess similar skills, we feel that we on the losing end of the trade. What we fail to see at times is the larger picture and the possibility of what the team could become with a different player.

How did we get here? What happened to just throwing the best possible players on the floor and teaching them how to play with each other and how to stick to a game-plan? Bill Simmons brought up a similar idea in a podcast a few weeks ago when he talked about Orlando’s thought to just throw out 5 good players and hope for the best. Everyone claimed that they had a big man that wasn’t an offensive power, yet they advanced to the Finals. Everyone claimed that they gunned up too many threes, yet they advanced to the Finals. Everyone claimed that they didn’t have a go-to player that could close out a game, yet they advanced to the Finals. What the hell?

Is this really the only way we think a team can win? By assigning players to very specific roles? By assuming that each player can bring a skill or two and then find other players to compliment that? What happens when your lockdown defender from the bench gets hurt? Or better yet, when the opposing teams goes small/quick and both guards are far too fast for your bigger defender? What happens when your “pure” shooter can’t get open or gets ice cold for games at a time?

Please do us all a favor and pass the ball.

Please do us all a favor and pass the ball.

Chuck Hayes. My buddy CG loves Chuck Hayes and for good reasons: he’s a pretty hard-nosed player that can guard multiple positions, plays great defense, can do most of the fundamental duties of a big man (box out, rebound, take up space to congest the paint, etc.) except one thing: he can’t score. He cannot score. Again: he cannot score. Open layups are mostly do-able, but he cannot score. And I’m not talking can’t score when facing up or because he lacks post moves, he legitimately can’t score. Chuck can set a mean pick, but who’s going to guard him when he rolls? He cannot score. Don’t get me wrong, I’d pick this guy up for for $1 million dollars, but how on earth do you make it into the league without being able to make a shot that isn’t an open layup?

Daryl Morey, one of the leagues best GMs (according to me, so that is like solid gold), has talked about how he thinks a team wins in the NBA today: you have a franchise player (Yao), a player just below the franchise player level (T-Mac), and then a 3rd guy that is just below the level of just below the franchise player (Ron Artest). From there, you just surround players to fit certain roles that you know you need: a swingman defender (Shane Battier), a player that can do all of the intangibles that don’t appear in the box score (Shane Battier), players that can create their own shots (Aaron Brooks and Von Wafer), a post-presence (Hayes), a versatile big that can spread out the court (Luis Scola), and athletic guys that are decent at multiple tasks (Landry, Lowry, Cook).

Daryl Morey with some key picks here.

Daryl Morey with some key picks here.

Although this makes sense, there’s something inherently wrong with this method.

Warkentien = smarty pants.

Warkentien = smarty pants.

Then you have Mark Warkentien from Denver. Warkentien also picked up guys like Chris Anderson and Dahntay Jones for peanuts because he liked the way they played. There was no breakdown of crazy algorithms involving Bill James-like statistics to determine the value and validity of signing these players– Warkentien and the owners signed the players they thought were good. They watched and listened to their scouts: these guys were good players. Anderson and Jones were an integral part to Denver’s success… both at a combined $1.9 million. By the way, Tony Allen alone made $2.5 million and was signed as a “defensive specialist” and to add a little bit of slashing offensive from the bench. Think about that.

I’m not saying that Morey is wrong and Warkentien is right. But somewhere in there between Morey and Warkentien lies a GM that uses the model of assembling a team by parts (Morey) and the model of assembling a team by who you just think are good players (Warkentien).

Sam Presti of OKC: hes made me into a Thunder believer.

Sam Presti of OKC: he's made me into a Thunder believer.

Sam Presti of Oklahoma and Danny Ainge might be good examples. We know Ainge’s history. Think about what Presti has done in the last couple of years: drafted Durant, Westbrook, and Green. Presti has found three gems in the last couple of drafts that will be the cornerstone of the Thunder’s lineup for years to come. He also happened to draft three guys that get along, like playing with each other, are flexible in regards to position, and seem to have some integrity. They have not been afraid to try players at different positions to make it work. And with the 3rd pick in this year’s draft, they could steal Ricky Rubio from the crowed and take a chance on a player that seems to be encased in mystery. After Blake Griffin, you might as well take a chance on a kid that could turn out to be phenomenal (or a bust: but with high risk comes the possibility of high reward) because of the weak draft class. Presti seems to get players that he knows are unique and good, and then works to make IT work for the team. I think what Presti sees is what we all need to see: evaluating numbers and skills of a particular player is helpful, but we don’t always know what they will do when tossed into a new system. Maybe, just maybe, finding guys that are good players and force them to work into your system is how you create a winning team. Back to basics: find the best players possible, make them learn how to play with each other, and have them stick to a game-plan that maximizes the possibility of winning each night. It’s called creative management and good coaching. Crazy, I know.

I imagine that when Danny was chasing down Ray and KG, he wasn’t thinking, “Will these guys fit in with what we are trying to achieve?” No. Danny thought to himself, “Holy s••t, I could get KG and Ray alongside Pierce?” He got the best players possible and then let Doc and company figure out the rest. If you have a chance to get Lebron or D-Wade in 2010, you don’t sit there and think about what skills you want them to really accentuate on the team. You get them on the team and figure out along the way what works and what doesn’t work.

    Unfortunately, it makes complete sense why these 2 will get packaged together. Lets just see if any teams bite on the offer and if Danny pulls the trigger.

Unfortunately, it makes complete sense why these 2 will get packaged together. Let's just see if any teams bite on the offer and if Danny pulls the trigger.

It will make me sad to see Ray and Rondo go, if they end up being moved this off-season. Not only did I just invest in an $80 Rondo jersey, but I’ll also say that he is by and far my favorite basketball player in years. I think that we have the top 2 starting lineups in the league (LA and Boston), and I’m smashing my head against my keyboard wondering WHY we would be thinking about tinkering with this core group. But, I also trust there’s a reason that Danny is the GM and I sit here and write about the Celtics. When it boils down to it, I’d rather see banner #18 than #9 handling the ball. But while rumors will continue to fly for the next couple of months, we need to really think about the arguments we are making about why certain trades will and will not work.

And for the record, I would have also made a damn good second baseman in Little League.

Categories: In the News · Player Profile
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Year of the Yao photo project.

June 22, 2009 · Leave a Comment

The most recent update to the Year of the Yao photo project.

Thursday, June 18, 2009 • The environment is Yao’s top concern; recycling is his second; being awesome is his third concern.

Thursday, June 18, 2009 • The environment is Yao’s top concern; recycling is his second; being awesome is his third concern.

See the project at PHOTTTO the blog.

Categories: In the News
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Awkward turtle.

June 22, 2009 · 5 Comments

First, watch this video of Trevor Ariza, Pau Gasol, Fisher, and Kobe on Jimmy Kimmel last week.

  • The entire interview is awkward: from the questions to the responses
  • The players just did not click with Jimmy’s style of bad jokes and they didn’t know what to say back
  • Fisher is the only one that sounds halfway intelligent/normal

Now watch this video of Ray Allen and KG on Letterman last year after the Celts won the title.

Who would you rather hang out with?

Categories: In the News · Player Profile
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The default choice?

June 17, 2009 · 1 Comment

Eddie has a choice, but then again, he might not really have one...

Eddie has a choice, but then again, he might not really have one...

There’s no such thing as ideal circumstances. Conditions in life rarely allow us to do exactly what we want, however we want.

And I’m okay with that. I’m okay with the fact that we have to make decisions based on the given situation, usually associated with so many variables. In most situations, people want to be given a choice. They want options. Choices make us happy because we are in the driver seat. There is a phenomenon, however, known as the paradox of choice: too many options (or even when there is more than 1 option) can cause us to over-analyze, stall on the decision-making process, and worse yet, create some high and unrealistic expectation of how happy our choice will make us.

Sometimes not having a choice is best… I’ll call it the default choice. Not having options can sometimes make you live with a decision and learn to make the most of it.

This is the situation I think Eddie House is in.
Eddie has a choice during this off-season: take the $2.8 million option and then look for a new contract next year in the crazy 2010 off-season, or pass on the Celtics $2.8 million and look for a new contract now. Eddie has a few more years left in him as a role player coming off the bench– maybe 5 years tops. He will be looking for 1 more big contract before he has to settle on some smaller one-year deals in the $1 million range.

Eddie just turned 31 this past May. House set a Celtics record for the best regular season 3-point FG% at .444, just besting Danny Ainge’s .443 from the ’86-’87 season (I was actually at the final regular season game when House was chasing this record: we tried to calculate his average after every shot but our cell phones only went to the hundredths when we needed it to go to the thousandths– it was entertaining). Eddie had arguably his most productive season of his career: he had a clearly defined role (playing off-guard, catching and shooting, and that’s pretty much it), played in 81 games (tying a career high), got plenty of minutes, and became our bench’s “energy guy”– Eddie was our catalyst for offense for the second unit.

Eddies ability to move without the ball has been the real reason his shooting has been on: hes usually open when catching and shooting.

Eddie's ability to move without the ball has been the real reason his shooting has been on: he's usually open when catching and shooting.

We’ve seen House evolve as a player while adorning #50 in green & white. Doc and Danny tried him at the point as Rondo’s back up for the start ’07-’08 season, and that wasn’t good for anybody. Since Sam Cassell, Gabe Pruitt, and Steph took over the reigns as back-up for Rondo since the trade deadline from the 2008 season, House has primarily played the off-guard position. This is, simply put, his most natural position on the court that allows him to be productive. His movement without the ball has improved ten-fold (I’m sure from working with Ray), and therefore his ability to get free has increased. He’s always had a quick release, which is an absolute must for a guard at his size (6’-1”). He really has one job on offense now, and it’s pretty simple: get open and launch bombs. Remember that from about mid-January to April in 2009, Eddie was shooting right around 50% from behind the arc (I just did the quick math in my head from the game splits: 103-209 3pt, give a take a few on each). Whoa. On top of the hot shooting, we continued to see the hustle in House: diving for loose balls, making the hard fouls… and dare I say, we even saw flashes of decent defense in the Chicago series.

As far as we know, Eddie is healthy. He keeps himself in pretty good shape– not too many concerns about wear & tear or age quite yet. So really, House is in the best position possible to go and sign elsewhere to lock up a few more years: just came off his best season in the NBA and is healthy. But herein lies the problem: I don’t think he will be seeing more money than $2.8 million, but he may be able to get some piece of mind in a longer term deal. The only concern around any team signing House right now, which is a big concern, is that no one knows how he will fare down the road. He’s been a streaky guy his entire career. If we pause to un-romanticize ourselves from House and the Celtics just for a second, then we’d probably realize that Eddie fits into an up-tempo system better than our system. The Knicks. The Suns. Golden State. Maybe even the Clippers. But unfortunately, these teams aren’t really in a position to pick up an undersized shooting guard (again, 6’-1”) that had a career year and could potentially see a drop in production over the next few years. Are any of these teams (I’ll even throw Milwaukee in there) really going to give a guy like Eddie $3-4 million for the next few years? No way. There is no way Eddie is going to see more money than he is seeing from the Celtics for the 2009-2010 season ($2.8 million). Again, Eddie might see an additional couple of years with an extended contract, but I don’t think that this is any more realistic than the money. There is no way people are going to sign a bench player for a 2-3 year contract when it will be taking away money for them to bid on the high profile players available in the 2010 free agency summer sweepstakes (Lebron, Wade, Bosh, Joe Johnson, Pierce (player option), Drik (player option), Kenyon Martin, Yao, T-Mac (I debated whether or not to include his name…), Marcus Camby, Michael Redd, Steve Nash, Amare, Shaq, Manu, and many others worthy of listing but I’m feeling lazy).

With these numbers from 2008-2009, lets hope hes got another good season left in him.

With these numbers from 2008-2009, let's hope he's got another good season left in him.

Here is another argument for him staying put for this upcoming season: he might not thrive in another organization like he thrives in Boston. Why on earth would Eddie want to go play somewhere else for 2009-2010? He needs to think about the future, of course, but he also needs to think about what is realistic for right now. Eddie won’t see more money, but if he can stay and be an integral part to the Celtics run for #18 then he will have 2 rings that he helped win on his resume. That could earn him a few years for a team looking to add a small piece after their big signings in 2010.

Eddie plays for a competent front office and coaching staff that believe in him and thinks he is part of the puzzle to winning. These guys would chop their children’s arms off to put up banner #18, and Eddie fits in well. House is an emotional guy– he feeds off of the intensity and energy of others while symbiotically giving it back to his teammates. Is Eddie going to find another locker room like Boston? A team with 3 future hall of famers that are now officially tested and true veterans with a ring on their finger? A team that has 2 straight seasons of sell-outs, and counting? Fans that will freakin’ buy his jersey (I guarantee no one else has ever bought his jersey prior to coming to Boston). A team that is easily one of the contenders for a title? I mean come on, all I have to say is Kevin Garnett. House needs to be playing with a guy like KG. I just don’t think Eddie will be effective if he isn’t being intravenously injected with this type of hype, intensity, energy, and drive that is in infinite supply from his Celtics teammates.

Really, though… this economic climate and the uncertainty of the future financial landscape of the association is causing lots of problems for teams, but in this case with Eddie, it’s actually kind of a blessing for Boston. He’s not going to get more money elsewhere. For $2.8 million, I think that Danny and company played their cards just right: this is a great price tag for the value of House… instant offense from a guy who knows our system.

So luckily for the Celtics, they can’t really beat the value of House but hopefully they don’t have to. Sometimes the best choice is no choice. Here, I just don’t see a real choice for Eddie, which works out well to maintain some stability on the Celts bench. Eddie: it looks like a default choice for you.

Categories: In the News · Player Profile
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Landmark.

June 12, 2009 · 4 Comments

LOSCY just cracked 450+ readers in a single day! This is a new record for different daily visitors (measured by different IP addresses).
This was made possible by (unsolicited) linkage from these great sites– be sure to check them out.

Finally, be sure to check out PHOTTTO’s new photography project for the next year: documenting Yao Ming for 365 days. One shot per day of the 8″ action figure that truly is larger than life itself.

Year of the Yao: 365 days of it. http://phottto.blogspot.com

Year of the Yao: 365 days of it. http://phottto.blogspot.com

ENDNOTE • Dear Magic: thanks for choking last night.

Categories: Game Recap · In the News · Player Profile
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No naked lap; Kobe bein’ Kobe; the case for Pau.

June 11, 2009 · 4 Comments

Kobe bein Kobe. Pau bein Pau.

When playing pick-up basketball, wiffle ball, foosball, tennis, or anything where a score is kept, the goal is to steal a point (or game if playing a series) if you are clearly overmatched. In college, if your team put up an egg in foosball, you owed the winning team a naked lap around the dorm near the dining hall. It only happened once, but it was memorable. There was a lot of talk about an LA sweep (and LA already planning their victory parade), but luckily for the Magic, there will be no broom accompanying the Larry O’Brien trophy– the Magic stole a game. And more importantly, there will be no naked lap for the Magic.

The Magic shot a record high 75% in the first half of Game 3 in ORL, while finishing the game shooting just a notch above 60%. Whoa. With the Magic shooting as well as they can and better than ANY TEAM in the history of the Finals (in the first half), the Magic escaped with a 108-104 win.

Escaped being the key word. A four point victory.

What?

This wasn’t the kind of blowout that could swing the momentum toward the Magic, especially with the ridiculously stupid Finals format of 2-3-2, which could potentially give ORL an edge if they could punch the Laker’s soul right in the face… the Magic had countless opportunities to blow this game open in the second half, and they just couldn’t do it. Oh yeah, in case you were wondering, Kobe did have a poorer FT shooting % than Dwight Howard (KB 50% and DH 69%).

Be a man and pass to your teammates.

Be a man and pass to your teammates.

What’s worse here: Kobe’s inability to close out the game or the Magical SVG’s inability to strangle and choke the sh*t out of the Lakers while his shooters had the hottest touch possible?

I’ll go with Kobe. Rafer, Rashard, Hedo, Dwight, Lee, Gortat, Pietrus all had fantastic games. The Magic are clearly underdogs, so it makes sense that they had to play out of their minds and beyond themselves to keep Game 3 close.

Kobe. Kobe. Kobe.
Kobe bein’ Kobe: close game in the 4th quarter, he gets tunnel vision, he tries to take over, he neglects teammates. Kobe bein’ Kobe. He still doesn’t understand the word NO… (Colorado, what?!)

For the first 2 games, we saw bouts of Kobe shooting from the perimeter after quick juke semi-lateral side to side step hesitation pump fakes while his teammates looked like their shoes were glued to the court by some product Billy Mays was selling at 3:00am.

But this makes me happy because let’s face the facts together: what’s the next best thing if the Celtics can’t win the 2009 title? The Lakers losing. Now I realize this probably won’t happen and Phil Jackson will earn #10 to surpass Red with the record for most titles by a coach and Kobe will prove why he’s one of the top players to ever play in the league (#4, this one as the lead actor)… but man I am holding out hope. I am holding out hope because the Lakers seem to be under-utilizing the team’s 2008-2009 team MVP: Pau Gasol.

Paul needs the rock, Phil. Get him the rock if you want the ring.

Paul needs the rock, Phil. Get him the rock if you want the ring.

The root of the problem here is Andrew Bynum. By the way, doesn’t Bynum look like Michael Jackson circa his days as the lead singer of Jackson 5? Anyone with me on this one? Anyway, when Bynum plays, Odom sits. We’ve seen that Gasol is deadliest when Odom is playing alongside him. This has nothing to do with specific match-ups or whether Gasol plays the 4 position (when Bynum is in) or the 5 position (when Odom is in). The bigger key here is that Bynum is like a 3-ton cinder block: the guy is not that mobile and with with fact that he still somewhat fresh off recovering from his knee injury, the “next Bill Russell” just eats up space in the paint. Eating up space automatically eliminates Gasol’s freedom to be a versatile and dynamic post-player. Remember that Gasol is a fantastic spot-up shooter with a consistent mid-range jumper (I mean come on, he’s European), he can shoot on the baseline, his fadeaway is near impossible to guard, he can front a defender or back into him, he’s a great offensive rebounder, and best of all… he is probably 1 of the 2 best big man passers in the league (he shares that honor with our very own Kevin Garnett). Gasol is what every coach wants in a big-man: versatile scorer that can put points on the board from all sorts of spots, crashes the offensive boards, plays good defense, has soft hands to finish around the rim and to handle the ball, has great court vision within the paint or to kick out to the perimeter, and for the most part is consistent when he gets a regular dosage of touches. When Odom is the lineup, Odom’s ability to space out the court opens up the lanes for Kobe and opens up the paint for Gasol to play his game. Odom’s mere presence on the court not only benefits Gasol AND Kobe, but forces defenders to completely change their game plan. The problem in this series wears #12 and is insanely strong and athletic. Gasol just isn’t strong or tough enough to guard Dwight Howard.

But obviously Phil sees the importance of playing Odom: Odom has played more minutes than Bynum in each game. And since Phil is taking his chances on the smaller front-court, then Gasol SHOULD be getting his touches. In Tuesday’s game, Gasol was 9-11 from the field and 5-6 from the line, for a grand total of 23 points. That’s 82% FG and 83% FT. WHY IS HE NOT GETTING MORE TOUCHES if he’s this efficient? Well, there is an easy answer: Kobe bein’ Kobe. We’ll come back to this at the end of the post.

Nothing would make me happier than the Lakers failing to see the simple game plan: give Pau Gasol the ball more and you win.

Nothing would make me happier than the Lakers failing to see the simple game plan: give Pau Gasol the ball more and you win.

Statistically, Pau Gasol is the season’s MVP: according to Dave Berri from Wages of Wins,
“Kobe Bryant fans will note that Kobe is not the leader in Wins Produced on the Lakers.  Pau Gasol was actually a bit more productive.  Gasol had his best season of his career in 2008-09, although the actual difference between what Gasol did this past season and what he did in 2006-07 (his last full season in Memphis) is not very big.  Gasol posted a 0.240 WP48 [Wins Produced per 48 minutes] two years ago. Had he maintained this production this year his Wins Produced would have been about 15.0 (a mark that’s still good enough to lead the Lakers in 2008-09).”

Berri sets the percentage of wins produced by Gasol at 27.5%, meaning that statistically he was responsible for more than 1/4 of the Lakers wins this past season. Using the same formula, Kobe’s percentage of wins produced was at 22.7%. Hollinger’s player efficiency rating (PER) has Kobe significantly higher than Gasol in the regular season(26.85 to 22.26), but they have been within 1 point of each other (on average) during the postseason.

The issue here isn’t necessarily a debate about who should be taking over the game, just the fact that they are under utilizing Pau Gasol. It’s the same question that everyone is asking: why aren’t the Lakers involving Gasol more? 11 touches isn’t enough for Gasol– he should be seeing 20 shots a night. Easily.

I would be furious if I was a Laker fan. Kobe bein’ Kobe has prevented the sweep, and now is a game away from making this a series. “Regular Season Kobe Bryant” shared the basketball and was the driving force in helping involve more guys by moving the ball: Luke Walton, Trevor Ariza, Shannon Brown, and Andrew Bynum all saw improvements to the offensive game because they simply got the ball more. Obviously Pau Gasol saw more touches this year. The team looked good, not just Kobe. Again, the Lakers looked good. Now, however, it’s Kobe default time with Kobe bein’ Kobe, playing 1 v. 5 in some unnecessary heroic effort to rescue a series that doesn’t need rescuing. You know when people make a bigger deal out of something than necessary or when people make more work for themselves, which in turn makes them dig a deeper hole to get out of? Kobe is doing these things– the Lakers are the far superior team. Out of the 4 best players on the court, 3 of them adorn gold and purple: Kobe, Gasol, and Odom. Why 2/3 of them aren’t being used MORE is beyond me.

Courtney Lee = $.

Courtney Lee = $.

But as a Kobe-Hater, I am fine with this. Give me a series to watch, and let me enjoy all of the small moments that I can where Kobe comes up short. But unfortunately, Kobe still can’t NO to romantacizing about the idea of taking over a game and being retaining the title of “best closer in the game.”

ENDNOTE  •  Go Courtney Lee (my flavor of the week– the guy is CASH MONEY: quick quick, fast fast, a great defender, hustles, emotional, fearless when driving to the hoop… CASH MONEY).

Categories: Game Recap
Tagged: , ,

The Rondo ‘tude.

June 8, 2009 · 5 Comments

#9 is where amazing happens.

#9 is where amazing happens.

#9 is where amazing happens.

If you’re a regular around these parts, or if you have the pleasure of listening to me babble in real time, you know that Rajon Rondo is honored like a deity. Rajon Rondo is a religion.

But that doesn’t mean I am blind to the faults that hold him back from realizing all of his potential. And yes, you know that he’s got plenty of potential.

Rondo’s name has been circulating the interwebs for the last week or so because of some rumors that cropped up due to the planting of some Phoenix radio junkies: Rondo & Ray to Phoenix for Amare & Barbosa. Those rumors quickly were dismissed by some Celtics front office execs, but it certainly got people thinking: is Rondo as untouchable as many of us thought? Midway through the season, once we realized that Rondo was truly an established point guard in the league, I think many loyal fans figured Danny would lock up Rondo with an extension after this season for a number of years to secure him in green for the foreseeable future (after $3+ million heading his way in 2009-2010).

We know he had a little bit of an attitude when first starting. We know that he was making too many gambles on defense. We know that he was a bit unpredictable when running the offense. We know about the horrible shooting ability. But we pretty much chalked it up to 3 things: 1) he is young, 2) he will mature, 3) he has the talent and skill set to potentially be a extraordinary successful and unique point guard in the NBA.

Then April 23, 2009 happened. Jackie MacMullan featured an article on ESPN.com entitled, “Rondo fast becoming Celts’ leader.” This article shed some important light on Rondo’s personality: for the most part, #9 has been pretty closed off to the public. He takes inner city kids shopping for clothes and roller skating, plays basketball with kids up in the North End, and spends much of his off-time with his daughter and family. We knew that much. But MacMullan shared with us all what he is really like– a bit of a baby, a bit cocky, a bit of a whiner… but she also shared what he is TURNING into: a trusted leader, a super competent floor general with many non-point-guard-like skills, a maturing player learning to play within a successful system… Basically, MacMullan argues that he had a lot to learn, has learned a lot, and still has a lot more to learn.

Then Rondo explodes during the playoffs– averaging almost a triple-double in the first round v. CHI and has so many analysts eating out of the palm of his (freakishly large) hands: look out CP3 and Deron, Rajon was here.

The season ended. Then the trade rumors.

Then Bill Burt. Burt of the Eagle Tribune sat down with Doc for an interview that was published on Sunday, June 7th:

Q: You mention three All-Stars, but wouldn’t you consider your point guard Rajon Rondo a fourth All-Star?
DOC: “Rondo still has a lot of growth ahead of him. As great as his numbers were, as great as he played at times, guys still fell off him to double team. Guys don’t fall off an All-Star to help with someone else. He has to make them pay for that by hitting his shot. Rondo has a chance to be a great player. “But you have to do it every day in the playoffs. The first five games of the Chicago series Rondo played at an All-Star level. But the rest of the playoffs you could make the case that he really struggled. He had good rebounding numbers. He also had some good assist numbers at times. But at the point guard level you have to be able to score and get your assists. When teams play the Boston Celtics the one guy they are going to help off of is Rondo.”
Q: Does Rondo understand that?
DOC: “Yeah, I think he does. Rondo has a healthy ego. But he understands he has to get better on the scoring end. He has to hit the open shot. But knowing him and how competitive he is, and how tough he is, he will work on that this summer.”

Geesh.

Is that it? Nope. CelticsBlog then posted an article about Rondo: “an attempt at a rational, objective evaluation of the player.” You just have to read this article for yourself: it’s a wonderful look at Rondo’s assets and liabilities.

With the CelticsBlog article, like the MacMullen one, you are left feeling both positive and negative: in everything that the Celtics’ fan-base has been exposed to, we know that there is still an attitude problem. But in nothing that we have seen on the court or heard about from teammates suggest that we should question his athletic ability, doubt his basketball IQ, or second guess his potential for great things. Nothing. Attitude and personality aside, #9 has the makings to be one of the best offensive and defensive point guards in the association.

4 things we know:

  1. Rondo is well on his way to being a lockdown perimeter defender: his biggest issue is that he still gambles too much on defense. Coach T and Doc have incorporated his defensive style into the defensive sets that the Celts play: Rondo often plays like a free safety roaming the top of the key and elbows waiting to make a play. Second team all defense? Check.
  2. With one of the quickest first steps in the league, few defenders can stay with him when he penetrates. Offensively, he is most dangerous when in the paint. His ability to finish around the rim has dramatically improved this year, although once he’s able to turn his tear-drop into a pull-up short-range jumper, he’ll be even more deadly. His sharp court vision and ability to snap passes old-school style to open players make him a critically important play-maker.
  3. Rondo’s ability to play half-court set ball and up-tempo transition ball add to his dynamic flexibility and make him invaluable to the other 4 players on the court.
  4. He’s got personality.

The fourth thing we know seems a bit odd because it doesn’t necessarily have anything to do with his basketball abilities. He dresses with style, he talks with swagger, and he shows flashes of too much intensity on the court in between plays.

I love how Ty Thomas, Anger Managements #1 client, looks most concerned in this pic.

I love how Ty Thomas, Anger Management's #1 client, looks most concerned in this pic.

Remember when Rondo and Rafer Alston (skip-to-my-POO) got into a little scuffle back in March 2008? What about Rondo and Kobe getting in each other’s faces in February of 2009? How about the fallout after Rondo punched Miller to save game 5 in the opening round of the playoffs? Or the scuffle with Kirk Hinrich in game 6 in the same series (by scuffle I mean Rondo tossing his ugly ass into the scorer’s table).

Kobe just making sure who ordered their burger medium rare.

Kobe just making sure who ordered their burger medium rare.

Take the Rondo tude now; itll pay off even more soon enough.

#9’s got intensity. #9’s got attitude. And you don’t want to lose this. You don’t want to lose this part of his personality because it will take away from his game. Wonder why he has the galls to fearlessly take it to the hoop against some of the league’s biggest and most intimidating guys? Because of Rondo’s intensity and attitude. Wonder why he talks trash to whomever he pleases? Because of Rondo’s intensity and attitude. It’s part of Rondo’s game now because it helps ignite and fuel his ability to focus and play hard. How his intensity and attitude tends to manifests itself– the pushing, the shoving, the trash talking, the whining after getting called out on mistakes– will eventually take care of itself. The maturation of Rajon Rondo has already begun and will continue to occur as long as the system takes care of him. Be patient. Don’t trade him. Don’t give up on him. Instead, continue to give him time to grow as a player and let the man turn into the best point guard in green since Cous. The Celts didn’t give up on Paul Pierce when so many others did– remember when he was boo’d off the court? Which game, you ask? Any game. Now look at him: a Finals MVP, a wise veteran, and a future hall of famer.

Take the Rondo ‘tude for now because it will pay off even more dividends soon enough.

Categories: In the News · Player Profile
Tagged: ,

Linking love.

June 7, 2009 · Leave a Comment

LOSCY is getting some linking love from some from great places:

Be sure to check around their sites for a while– plenty of good off-season reading.

Categories: In the News
Tagged: ,

Off-season thoughts #2: the Walker & Giddens Show.

June 6, 2009 · 3 Comments

June 6th. The anniversary for Tetris. The anniversary of D-Day. The tennis great Bjorn Bjorg’s birthday. What a day. I’d like to now chalk something else up for remembrance of June 6th: the day the proud writer at Loscy pushed Celtics Nation to hop on the Bill Walker & JR Giddens bandwagon for the next season.

The Walker/Giddens 2009-2010 campaign starts now.

I love In-N-Out Burger, but it might not stand up against these other big names.

I love In-N-Out Burger, but it might not stand up against these other big names.

On the same day I tried to explore some of the salary cap and roster issues that the Celtics face for next season, the folks over at CelticsBlog pretty much completed a dissertation about the collective-bargaining-agreement, salary cap exceptions, and a run-down of how the Celtics’ roster will be affected by all of potential issues with money. It was like me bringing In-N-Out Burger to a potluck dinner and CelticsBlog bringing Gordon Ramsay, Paul Bocuse, Bobby Flay, Anthony Bourdain, Rocco DiSpirito, Thomas Keller, Wolfgang Puck, Todd English, Emeril, and Charlie Trotter with a trailer full of fresh produce and organic beef. (I got the list of top chefs by googling “best chefs in the world.”)

Anyway, check out the last post for more thoughts on who might be moved and who will probably stay for 2009-2010.

Lots of questions linger about what kind of team we can assemble to make another banner run. In sports, no team is ever complete and no player is ever safe. Knowing that nothing is really ever set in stone, I think that many of you would agree on one thing: all 5 of our starters from 2008-2009 will be back again in green for 2009-2010. This is the same starting five that presented you with the Larry O’Brien Trophy for the 2007-2008 championship season. Although the window is closing and our biggest starts are aging, we are also seeing the accelerated maturation of Perkins and Rondo. More importantly, you are seeing the growing trust between all 5 players– when healthy, is there a better starting 5 in the association? Taking my Celtics hat for a second, I really don’t think that there is a better group of starters in the NBA. Defensively, we are as sound and tight as any group. We have the best, yes, the BEST, defensive front court in the league. Individually, each player adds a dash of offensive to create a team that can put points on the board in a myriad of ways. It is an unselfish team despite 3 future hall of famers and a young gunner handling the ball. They can score inside and out– on the block or behind the arc. In a set offense or in transition. 4 different players that can go ISO if need be. 4 different players are capable of dropping 25 points on you without even blinking. That is how good they are.

4/5 of them. With KG back, they should be an instant favorite for 2010.

4/5 of them. With KG back, they should be an instant favorite for 2010.

The key to raising banner #18 will rest on these 5 gentlemen’s shoulders of course, but as we learned this year, the weight has to be shared a bit with the bench. We’ve heard Doc talk about the need for some veteran presence and composure on the bench. We need to get a veteran point guard. We need to get a veteran big man. Whether that is through an off-season trade (TA an Scal!) or through free agency (there are some delicious names out there for front-court assistance), we know this to be a priority.

But in the middle of the lineup for the second unit, we may not need to search very far. We may able to find 2 swingmen that fill the middle of the lineup in that 2-3-4 holes for only a combined $1.8 million dollars: Bill Walker and JR Giddens.

The Walker and Giddens show.

1/2 of the show.

1/2 of the show.

Let’s start with Walker. I feel like I have been calling for Walker to get some quality PT all season long to speed up his development into the Celtics system and more importantly, to help give some rest to the aging legs of Paul Pierce. Walker is a dynamic player. Unlike the Walker that adorned the #8 before him on the Celtics, this Walker is a fast, quick, strong, sturdy slasher. In the little time we’ve seen Walker play, you can tell he is fearless on the court– he plays with swagger and confidence. He has great instincts about where to be on court: remember all of those ‘oops Rondo threw to Walker? Yeah, me too. In his 2007-2008 season with Kansas State, he averaged an impressive 16 points and 6 rebounds in 27 minutes per game across 31 games. The best part: he can play a big 3 or a small 4. That flexibility is key depending on match-ups for second units. This guy is young. This guy is raw. Physically, he can push smaller forwards around and blow past bigger forwards. Even without a a great perimeter shot, he still is effective because he can finish around the rim. With Eddie House floating around the perimeter, who cares if his shot hasn’t fully developed yet. Does it matter right now?

The other 1/2 of the show.

The other 1/2 of the show.

Now JR. Let’s forget about the stuff at Kansas and let’s get down to the possibilities of the future. Even more than Bill Walker, JR Giddens is an explosive offensive player. At 6’5”, 200lbs, he and Walker physically make up a great 2-3 or 3-4 combo off the bench. They are similar in their athletic capabilities: JR has a good build, he’s fast, quick off the dribble, and a creative scorer. If he’s confident, this guy is almost instant offense. He was great in the D-League averaging just under 20 points and posting a FG% higher than 50%.

Both guys are high energy, explosive players. Let’s find moments to send them in together. Let’s send them both in to be the catalyst for the second unit. Can’t you see these guys making a stop on defense, coming back to the other end playing some good old transition basketball with some some acrobatic move ending in an offensive exclamation point? This second unit needs to be an intensely emotional one: with guys like Giddens, Walker, House, Baby, and Powe, you are pretty much guaranteed players that will be fired up to play.

The biggest line-up issue with the Walker & Giddens Show is if Giddens plays off-guard, then what happens to Eddie House? We know he is only highly effective when not handling the ball. We could resolve this by going smaller: veteran PG, Eddie, JR, Walker, veteran center? But then what happens to Big Baby if we re-sign him? We know he’s proven his way to being a reliable back-up for KG, and really, he’s earned that spot. What happens if we re-sign Powe and he returns to the line-up? What a job Danny has this summer…

Let’s stay with Walker for a minute… If Walker becomes Pierce’s back-up. then you can reduce Pierce’s minutes in games from 38 minutes (in 80-09) to 32 minutes per game for next season. Doing this will save the guy 8.2 hours on the court (492 minutes). In other words, Pierce will have eliminated 13 full games from the regular season with the simple 6 minute reduction in each game. Those full 13 games that Pierce won’t have had to play in the regular season will come in handy when the Celtics need him to play anywhere from 16-28 games in the post-season. This is how critical it is that the Celtics sit Pierce more to save his legs. 38 minutes for soon-to-be 32 year old is not going to help this team come next April. Whether this comes from Giddens or Walker, I don’t really care. It has to come from one of the 2 youngsters.

Heres to seeing them more on the court this year than on the bench.

Here's to seeing them more on the court this year than on the bench.

There is no real solution here. I like the idea of the Walker & Giddens show, but them coming together doesn’t make sense… But one of them has to have a developmental breakthrough this off-season. Already on the roster, you have 2 young players that are cheap and realistic options for bench scoring right now. Getting them ready in case the off-season signings and trades don’t work out is the smartest thing. Prepare them as if they will see 12-15 minutes per game. It’s far too early to give either of these guys up– they have the raw potential to be viable options for the future. They are a good back-up plan.

The best way for Giddens and Walker to learn is to start getting minutes in the regular season so they can be trusted in the post-season. To get there, however, it starts this off-season by pushing Bill Walker and Giddens to get in as many summer league games as possible. To constantly be working out. To constantly watch film. To hit the weight room. To take 300 jumpers a day. To work with the coaches about defensive sets and to learn the Coach T system. Bill Walker and JR Giddens need to be at their best come this fall because the Celtics financially may not have any other options. One of these guys needs to be a reliable back-up to Pierce.

The Celtics may not have the liberty of signing anyone that cost more than $6 million dollars this off-season, which severely limits their search in the free agency pool Trades are more likely to help shape the roster for next year… But then again, we have a pretty solid team already in front of us. Let’s face the facts together: we have 3 guys making a combined $50 million next year. Bill Walker and JR Giddens might not be our ideal swingmen, but they might be our choice by default. But, this isn’t a doomsday situation we are faced with. We have to trust Walker and Giddens. Give them a shot. Trust that they are surrounded by some of the best players in the league and possibly even some of the best teammates in recent history. Let them learn… Let them play. Let them play. Let them Play.

What an ending. Will see something familiar in June 2010?

The legwork to make this scene an encore starts now.

Categories: In the News · Player Profile
Tagged: ,

Off-season thoughts #1: our roster and salary issues.

June 3, 2009 · 2 Comments

Lets get that $16 million dollar knee healthy in shape.

Let's get that $16 million dollar knee healthy in shape.

Who is going to go, and who is going to stay?
As of now, here is our 15-man roster and what they are owed for the 09-10 season:

  • KG($16.4 million)
  • Pierce ($19.8 million)
  • Ray Ray ($18.7 million)
  • Perk ($4.2 million)
  • Scal ($3.4 million)
  • Eddie Money ($2.8 million; player option)
  • TA ($2.5 million)
  • Rondo ($2.6 million)
  • Steph ($0)
  • JR Giddens ($1.2 million)
  • Powe ($0)
  • Gabe Pruitt ($729,005; team option)
  • Big Baby ($0)
  • Mikki Moore ($0)
  • Bill Walker ($736,420)

This 15-man roster has a grand total salary of $72, 386,991. Yikes. The salary cap in the NBA for the 09-10 season will be decreased to $58.68 million, but because of all of the salary cap exceptions that would make any great lawyer’s head spin, the Celtics shouldn’t go over the cap too much and into luxury tax territory (multi-year contracts, Larry Bird Exception, Early Bird Exception, Non-Bird Exception, Mid-Level Salary Exception, Bi-Annual Exception, Rookie Exception, Minimum Player Salary Exception, Traded Player Exception… ugh, let’s just stop there. You can read more about it here: http://members.cox.net/lmcoon/salarycap.htm#Q19). But we will be close. Something promising though: the other day Wyc claimed that the Celtics will be opening up their wallets regardless of luxury tax issues if certain players will make their team better. I love this man.

Time to get down and dirty: here are some thoughts about the make-up of this team.

KG is staying. His surgery went well, rehab begins soon, and that $16.4 million dollar knee has to start getting healthy and strong as he is a go for the start of the 09-10 season.
Pierce is obviously staying.
Ray Ray is staying despite crazy rumors about he and Rondo being traded to Phoenix for Amare and Barbosa. Crazy talk. Although… mid-season in 2009-2010, things aren’t going well, trade deadline is near, the Celtics get an offer for something that sounds better than what Ray gives us, then don’t be surprised if he is shipped off then. But not now.
Perk is staying.
I believe Eddie will pick up his option– even in a career shooting year, not many teams will pay more than $2.8 for a tiny shooting guard that can’t do anything else except shoot open 3s. He likes Boston, Boston likes him, so it works out well.
Rondo will most likely get re-signed to something nice that will keep him in green for a long time. I’d like to see 5 years for $70 million, but I know I’m talking crazy.
JR Giddens will be back.
Big baby is a restricted free agent so the Celts can match any offer to Baby. Baby has already expressed that he will go where the money is: he knows that this is a business and he is treating it as such. Luckily for us, most NBA teams are losing money faster than Usaine Bolt can run the 100m and in this terrific economy we are living through, I can’t imagine how many teams will throw Baby a huge contract. And to be honest, his development will stunt if he leaves this team: look who his mentors are!?? I think it’s safe to say that we will see #11, all 800lbs of him, back in green for the next 3-4 years.
Bill Walker will be back and should be on the active roster and not getting shipped back and forth to Utah to play for the Flash in the D-League.

Mikki Moore is gone. I have a feeling Steph will be gone, too. He’s been calling old Coach Flip Saunders, who will be with the Wiz this year, about giving him a chance. I see him going somewhere for more money and for guaranteed playing time. It was a good risk the Celts took on him, and I’m glad Steph had the chance to redeem himself a bit. I need him to continue to play ball so he can make more $15 basketball shoes– I’ll be in need of a new pair sneakers in about 4 months.

Scal might be pointing to where he might be going this off-season.

Scal might be pointing to where he might be going this off-season.

I wouldn’t mind seeing TA and Scal traded to a team looking for depth off the bench and some additional role players. TA and Scal could be packaged together to help a team defensively. In our system, TA can’t get 8-10 touches to put up 12 points in a game and be a reliable perimeter defender; but somewhere else, in another system, TA could help improve a bench with his athleticism in an uptempo style game: Phoenix? Golden State? New York? Scal is the king of intangibles on the court: smart fouls on defense, taking charges, hustling for loose balls, guarding positions 3-5, and helping to stretch the court out a bit with his ability to knock down some outside shots. Packaged together, they can be very appealing to a team looking to dump one player earning $5-6 million: the total salary between Scal and TA.

Bye bye #42?

Bye bye #42?

I’m pretty convinced that TA will be moved. After the whole Chicago fiasco of the death threats against him and his inability to stay healthy and him having a basketball IQ of a acorn, it’s time the Celts cut ties with him. We’ve given him time, but it’s time to walk away from the table. What should we get in return? How about a veteran point guard? Or a veteran center? Either one. Size would be preferable, but a decent back up for Rondo has to be found somewhere at some point. These are two roles we NEED to fill, and it would be great to see it taken care of by dumping TA and unfortunately saying goodbye to Scal. Let’s say we go with the size: we trade TA and Scal for a BIG. Done. Taken care of.

If this is the route we take, then we still are looking for a veteran point guard ($1 million worth) and keep Pruitt as a 3rd option in case of injury. What a cheap 3rd option. Give the kid another year and another chance. While is jumper has been pretty unreliable, he can at least handle the ball and start-up the offense. More importantly, he knows the system. He knows the options. Not a terrible hand to have.

I don’t have a good feeling about Powe. He will miss at least 1/3 of the season, and I just don’t know. I hope we re-sign him because he is quite possibly the BEST human being in the world, and he stands for all that is right in sports and in humanity, and the dude can get offensive boards and play pretty solid post defense. His game is really coming together and he’s adding all sorts of moves to his offensive game… But damn. It doesn’t make sense financially at all. If Powe is willing to take a discount to stay with the Celts, I can see the front office cutting him a 2 year deal for just over $1 million per.

Bill Walker: possibly the heart of our bench for 09-10.

Bill Walker: possibly the heart of our bench for 09-10.

So there are two X factors left on the roster: JR Giddens and Bill Walker. How about this for a bomb shell? These two players will decide HOW GOOD THE CELTICS ARE IN 2009 and 2010.

How is this so…?

I’ll elaborate more in this weekend’s post that will be dedicated to all the reasons I want to buy a Bill Walker t-shirt jersey (a huge compliment, by the way… although not as big of a compliment as me buying the real jersey) and why Boston might be the perfect stage for JR Giddens.

Endnote • Lakers in 6. Damn it, what? No. Magic in 6. Bam. Pietrus becomes series MVP. Bam. JJ Reddick drops nine 3s in a game to tie the Finals record of most 3s in a game. Dwight averages 24-20-11. 11 blocks. For a triple-double. Jameer Nelson returns and causes headaches because he was having an All-Star season. Stan van Gundy draws up 36 different in-bounds plays that are all successful.
Lakers in 6.
Although I was completely and utterly wrong about the CLE/ORL series, so who knows.

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